None of these points really explain why a warrant canary can't have value it just explains why you in particular don't find value in it which isn't necessarily supposed to be surprising.
Why is every user of a service supposed to care about something for it to have value in the service? Why is everyone supposed to agree on what level of connectivity obfuscation makes them feel comfortable? Why can't someone find value in simply knowing the government isn't monitoring how they use services without notice? If it has no impact on monitoring ability why would the government bother getting a warrant in the first place? Why can't someone be interested in knowing how pervasive invisible warrant requests are? Why should everyone equally be comfortable with just encrypting and calling it a day?
Even though I don't really have any direct utility from a warrant canary (e.g. Reddit's warrant canary went away ~7 years ago and it didn't trigger any direct consequences with me using Reddit) I still find them useful and, knowing how relatively lax I am about privacy/security compared to many, I have no doubts many find direct use of them. For some other specific companies/services/projects though I could even see a warrant canary possibly having high direct value.
I guess that's what I was asking, is why or how? I didn't say they don't have value as a fact, I said I don't understand the value. Why are they useful to you, ie, what would you do with this knowledge if your storage service had a warrant canary and stopped updating it?
For me personally this one "Why can't someone be interested in knowing how pervasive invisible warrant requests are?" is my primary use out of them as I think more transparency in government surveillance is a net good for society but the point of that larger section was, independent of individual conclusions, if you phrase the same type of questions you started with in a more open ended way you get plenty of reasons a warrant canary has value and those are all examples.
Why is every user of a service supposed to care about something for it to have value in the service? Why is everyone supposed to agree on what level of connectivity obfuscation makes them feel comfortable? Why can't someone find value in simply knowing the government isn't monitoring how they use services without notice? If it has no impact on monitoring ability why would the government bother getting a warrant in the first place? Why can't someone be interested in knowing how pervasive invisible warrant requests are? Why should everyone equally be comfortable with just encrypting and calling it a day?
Even though I don't really have any direct utility from a warrant canary (e.g. Reddit's warrant canary went away ~7 years ago and it didn't trigger any direct consequences with me using Reddit) I still find them useful and, knowing how relatively lax I am about privacy/security compared to many, I have no doubts many find direct use of them. For some other specific companies/services/projects though I could even see a warrant canary possibly having high direct value.