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At the annual Denver Startup Week I notice about a third to half of the startup industry is incestuous, that provides facilities for developers to work better. These are mainly code academies and coworking spaces. I feel if the tech industry ever ever has one of its periodic down turns, then this it could rapidly implode with all these developer services. The reality is about half of the workers entered the tech industry since its last major down turn during 2000 - 2003 and live in the fairy tail land that it could not happen to us. Welcome to economic reality, suckers.


These are mainly code academies and coworking spaces

In a gold rush, sell shovels.


Don't count on that. If an economic downturn happens, it's entirely possible that the less experienced, but less expensive developers will do well. It may be the experienced one will feel the hurt.


We don't have to guess... What happened to each group during the last two tech/economic downturns (2000-2003 and 2007-2009)?


In the tech bubble of the early 2000s, everyone got burned. In 2007-2009, few in tech were burned. Not sure that's relevant.


In recent downturns people without college degrees got burned. HR could ask for more credentials, even if they were less relevant than experience. Its just its been so long since the last IT downturn, the newbies feel invincible.




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