In other words, if you wanted to game the odds, you'd start by offering it on the black market, then if there were no takers after X number of days, offer it to Facebook?
Like Dylan says, people will pay for web server software bugs, if the software is widely installed, because you can make money by building and grooming a fleet of compromised servers. There is a way to do it, and that way works.
There is not a good, reliable way to make money from Facebook account takeover. You can conceive of them speculatively, but that is not the same thing as knowing you can execute, or, better, already having a business process in place that is already executing, just waiting for a new bug.
Your comments make sense in the real world, where the big threat is "criminal enterprise looking to make an illicit buck".
I worry that people are too obsessed about the hypothetical specter of tremendously skilled and bored black-hats who will ruin lives for fun, rather than for a pay-off, e.g. ZF0.
> You'd have to have a real vendetta against someone to value ruining their life at $15k.
You're thinking about it wrong. There is no opportunity cost in their worldview, just lulz to be had at the expense of people they deem worthy of ruination.
(I never said the people that live in the intersection of trolls and blackhats are great at financial or career planning, after all.)
Or simply publishing it first and leveraging to opportunity for contract work. I'd really hope you're able to get a commitment from ZERODIUM before giving them the details.